Of all the
levers that a CEO can pull to achieve superior performance,
managing a corporation’s scope may offer the greatest
potential to generate strong shareholder returns.
Economic cycles and other factors that contribute
to a company’s fortunes or misfortunes may be beyond
even the boss’s control, but among the activities
that he or she can influence, adjusting the
breadth of a corporate business portfolio represents
a significant portion of the company-specific drivers
of shareholder returns.1
It is therefore odd that so little consensus exists
on the topic. True, long-standing conventional wisdom
maintains that "focus is the answer." Volumes of
finance theory argue, correctly, that investors allocate
capital among diverse businesses more efficiently
than corporations do and that good projects can typically
attract funding in public or private capital markets.
Conversely, markets are quicker than ever to discount
the valuations of diversified companies as a result
of their perceived shortcomings, including the cross-subsidization
of financially unattractive projects and difficulties
in aligning the management incentives of diverse
business units with the fortunes of the corporation
at large.
And yet . . . every CEO knows that no matter how
focused his or her business is, at some point diversification
is necessary to regenerate growth and create value
over the long term. Companies must branch out into
new businesses to compensate for the declining prospect
of creating value in older ones. What is more, many
CEOs of successful businesses assert, in a kind of
street-smart amendment to the findings of academics,
that investors implicitly fund strategies and management
teams, not individual projects.
Our research has uncovered a particularly fertile
middle ground between focus and diversification.
While focused companies generally do trump more diversified
ones, companies we categorize as moderately diversified
perform at least as well as, and often better than,
their focused counterparts. Focus, in short, isn’t
always the best answer. Moreover, these moderately
diversified companies share a common approach to
managing scope—an approach that, applied at the right
time in the life cycle of a business, generates superior
returns through higher growth that is both realized
and anticipated by capital markets.
Finding the sweet spot
In our research,
moderate diversification emerged as a strategic sweet
spot between pure business focus and broader diversification.
This trick isn’t easy to pull off: the optimal balance
can vary widely from company to company and from
point to point in the stages of a business’s life
cycle. Furthermore, managers of scope shouldn’t think
of moderate diversification as a steady state; they
must direct a process of continuous balancing between
tightening a company’s focus and branching out through
business building, acquisitions, and other forms
of related diversification. We believe that the goal
should be a portfolio with an appropriate balance
of current performance and growth potential and that
an intense management focus can meet the markets’
expectations through the dynamic reshaping of assets.
Moderate diversification can be positive indeed.
We began our analysis by using publicly reported
revenues to classify 412 S&P 500 companies as
focused (that is, deriving at least 67 percent of
revenues from one business segment), moderately diversified
(with at least 67 percent of revenues from two segments),
or diversified (with less than 67 percent of revenues
from two segments).2 Then
we validated our results by testing them against
two other common measures of focus.3 Even
a broad analysis based on publicly reported revenues
by a Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB)-
defined segmentation scheme confirmed the idea that
in total returns to shareholders (TRS), focused companies
outperformed diversified ones (Exhibit 1).
When we honed our research further to compensate
for a lack of consistency in some standard measures,4 however,
we made a more subtle discovery. Across all three
measures of scope during the decade from 1990 to
2000, focused companies boasted a median annual TRS
that was 8 percent in excess of the average of their
industry peers—more impressive than the 4 percent
for the diversified group. But the moderately diversified
group notched up 13 percent a year in annual excess
returns. The results were similar over a 20-year
period.5 Indeed,
moderately diversified companies outperformed focused
and more fully diversified ones in 81 percent of
the three-year-rolling-average time periods and generated
higher TRS in every year but one since 1985 (Exhibit
2).
Moderately diversified business models, we have
therefore concluded, are quite capable of generating
shareholder returns that are at least as strong as,
and frequently even stronger than, those achieved
by the more focused models. Indeed, the popular view
that "focus is better" simply isn’t right at all
times and certainly isn’t applicable at each and
every stage of a corporation’s life cycle.
Diversifying for superior growth
What about moderate diversification contributes
to the success of this approach? One answer is that
it can help a corporation navigate key transitions
in business life cycles more effectively than a focused
route does and thereby helps generate more sustainable
longer-term growth.
Consider, for example, a company that has historically
operated as a single business entity but competes
in a rapidly maturing industry whose growth rates
are trailing off. As the company matures, it must
put the value of its legacy business to best use
by making trade-offs between strategies to maximize
its short-term cash flow and efforts to retain customers
and extend its profitable growth. At the same time,
the company must somehow reinvigorate its growth
expectations and build a sustainable, dynamic organization
that can attract and retain talent and create broader
interest among investors and analysts.
Corporations that have pulled off this feat have
used their existing strengths to diversify moderately
so that they have a strong position to exploit emerging
opportunities. Such diversification usually takes
companies into related industries, but it can also
involve new business arenas that present clear opportunities
to build on developed capabilities.
Take Broadwing, which began life as the Cincinnati
Bell local-telephone company. In the 1980s, Broadwing
recognized that as a stand-alone, regulated entity
its growth prospects were likely to be limited. Management
explored the company’s existing capabilities and
saw strengths in certain telephony-related systems
and services, including billing, customer care, and
telemarketing. Rising market demand made the third-party
provision of such services an opportunity worth exploiting.
Broadwing thus built a significant new business to
provide call-center and back-office services to other
companies, and by the late 1990s the company’s call-center
services boasted higher revenues than its traditional
fixed-line telephony operations. In 1998, Broadwing
spun off the call-center services business as Convergys
(which had approximately $1 billion in revenue),
thereby creating more than $3 billion in value for
Broadwing and Convergys shareholders from the day
the spin-off was announced to early 2002.
Naturally, companies with widely diversified portfolios
and companies that have all but exhausted the synergies
across their business units can add value and build
confidence in the capital markets by imposing a greater
degree of focus. In the mid-1990s, for example, poor
performance in the capital markets and negative comments
from analysts forced the pharmaceutical company Ivax
to recognize that it was hampered by an imbalance
between focus and diversity, since the long-term
growth prospects of its diverse portfolio were seen
to be weak. In 1997 and 1998 the company divested
its cosmetics, intravenous-products, and specialty-chemicals
businesses. In 2000 it made a series of international
acquisitions to build a moderately diversified position
as a producer of branded and generic pharmaceuticals.
Recalibrating the company’s scope worked: the share
price of Ivax has more than tripled since 1998, and
better long-term growth expectations are thought
to be responsible for more than half of the increase.
Companies with overly focused portfolios also can
benefit from moderate diversification. Consider Alltel,
which like many telecom companies launched a wireless
business in the mid-1980s. Recognizing that changes
in technology and consumer demand represented opportunities,
Alltel bolstered its moderately diversified position
with a series of acquisitions, including 360 Communications,
Aliant Communications, and Liberty Cellular (Exhibit
3). By 2001, Alltel’s wireless business, with $3.2
billion in revenue, had substantially surpassed even
the company’s traditional wireline telephony business.
Alltel’s share price, which has roughly doubled over
the past five years, reflects investor recognition
of these improved long-term growth prospects.
Scoping out scope
To get started in active scope management, a company
must consider the timing. Companies in an emerging
or growth industry should devote the majority of
their management time and attention to meeting the
challenging expectations likely to be factored into
their stock prices, so a strong degree of focus is
warranted.
By contrast, corporations
in maturing industries have reached the juncture
where most of the benefits of moderate diversification
are to be found. Such a company must begin with a
candid assessment of its capabilities—the crucial
first step in shaping, and reshaping, a corporate
portfolio. Managers must also establish a clear understanding
of its current degree of focus—an understanding based
on the share of the company’s total revenues generated
by its different, discrete business units. They must
also calculate the company’s relative expected long-term
growth rate6 as
reflected in the capital markets. Once this exercise
is completed, a company can develop an initial hypothesis
about the opportunities available to reshape its
portfolio.
Logically, companies with little diversification
and low expected long-term growth would do well to
diversify by introducing growth businesses into their
stagnating portfolios. Conversely, highly diversified
companies in which the market lacks confidence would
benefit from focusing their portfolios. Diversified
companies, even those with high growth expectations,
need to anticipate the point when business units
will probably become so mature that their prospects
of creating value will start falling—and to divest
them proactively rather than wait until they begin
to lose value.
The most successful scope managers we studied share
a number of traits. Such companies continually and
proactively monitor and match their current and emerging
internal capabilities with external discontinuities—changes
in technology, regulation, and consumer behavior
that may create opportunities in related industries
or require management skills they already have. They
rapidly divest businesses that show early signs of
potential failure. Further, they separate successful
new businesses earlier than their peers do and actively
and continually trade their business portfolios.
In particular, a process of active and balanced
trading of assets to achieve an appropriate level
of focus is critical. Companies that actively manage
their corporate portfolios (in the top third of total
M&A activity) create 30 percent more value over
the long term than do relatively passive companies.
Furthermore, for mature companies, strategies that
involve both acquisitions and divestitures outperform
strategies focusing on one or the other.7
Another characteristic of the moderately diversified
companies we studied is a willingness to part early
with strongly performing businesses. This approach
may seem counterintuitive if not downright foolhardy,
but we see it as one of the hallmarks of successful
scope managers. Given what we know about the success
of companies that actively manage their portfolios,
executives should probably be divesting businesses
far more proactively than they typically do; during
the 1990s, nearly 60 percent of the largest US companies
completed no more than two divestitures exceeding
$100 million.8 Moreover,
three out of four divestitures are completed during
a fire sale or a shutdown or under the pressure of
persistent long-term underperformance by a business
unit and irresistible investor pressure to divest
it when that underperformance becomes totally obvious
to the market.9
Holding on too long can cost a company dearly not
only because a foundering business fetches less on
the market when sold but also because propping up
a unit in decline drags down the whole organization
and exacts an opportunity cost in the form of scarce
management time. Typically, it is less successful
companies that hold on to underperforming businesses
too long in the often vain hope that they will eventually
turn around and so vindicate management’s judgment
about them. By contrast, successful scope managers
sell or separate high-performance businesses as soon
as the majority of synergies have been captured.
In this way, the benefits of separation—such as improved
management focus, targeted management-incentive programs,
and enhanced strategic freedom—can be banked earlier.
Kimberly-Clark is one example of a moderately diversified
company that dynamically reshuffled its portfolio
to take advantage of internal capabilities. From
origins in consumer products and newsprint, Kimberly-Clark
eventually diversified even to the extent of building
and managing a small airline business by leveraging
the capabilities it developed while managing its
own corporate jet fleet.
Over the course of the 1990s, Kimberly-Clark actively
traded its portfolio, continually buying and selling
as well as looking for spin-off opportunities. Its
management closed a number of relatively small underperforming
businesses that had limited opportunities to improve
and spun off its airline business as Midwest Express.
The company also added to its business mix, acquiring
Tecnol Medical Products in 1997 and the disposable-latex-glove
manufacturer Safeskin in 1998, thereby using its
existing skills to diversify into a small but growing
health care business. Kimberly-Clark’s active approach
to trading has clearly generated superior returns
for shareholders: the company has maintained long-term
growth expectations, on a rolling basis, of up to
30 percent of its share price.
The appropriate breadth of the corporate portfolio
is a critical component of the CEO’s agenda. Yet
a consistent view of how best to manage a company’s
scope is elusive. While it is clear that a tendency
toward focus generally leads to superior performance,
we have found that the ongoing processes of moderate
diversification—ensuring an appropriate balance among
growth potential, current performance, and the intensity
of management focus—can help a company deliver significant
additional growth and superior shareholder returns.
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